WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
| Updated: 05-10-26 at 8:55 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 05-10-26 |
86 |
|
77 |
63 |
|
62 |
85 |
|
79 |
54 |
|
61 |
74 |
|
80 |
53 |
|
57 |
| 05-09-26 |
77 |
80.0 |
77 |
62 |
63.4 |
62 |
85 |
|
79 |
64 |
|
61 |
84 |
|
80 |
52 |
|
57 |
| 05-08-26 |
76 |
75.4 |
77 |
58 |
56.3 |
62 |
77 |
80.0 |
79 |
62 |
63.4 |
61 |
83 |
|
80 |
64 |
|
57 |
| 05-07-26 |
79 |
77.8 |
77 |
54 |
54.7 |
62 |
75 |
75.4 |
79 |
56 |
56.3 |
61 |
80 |
80.0 |
80 |
62 |
63.4 |
57 |
| 05-06-26 |
86 |
87.8 |
77 |
68 |
68.2 |
62 |
78 |
77.8 |
79 |
56 |
54.7 |
61 |
74 |
75.4 |
80 |
58 |
56.3 |
57 |
| 05-05-26 |
79 |
79.7 |
77 |
59 |
54.7 |
62 |
85 |
87.8 |
79 |
68 |
68.2 |
61 |
81 |
77.8 |
80 |
56 |
54.7 |
57 |
| 05-04-26 |
78 |
71.2 |
77 |
55 |
46.8 |
62 |
79 |
79.7 |
79 |
60 |
54.7 |
61 |
86 |
87.8 |
80 |
67 |
68.2 |
57 |
| 05-03-26 |
71 |
71.2 |
77 |
47 |
46.8 |
62 |
79 |
71.2 |
79 |
54 |
46.8 |
61 |
81 |
79.7 |
80 |
60 |
54.7 |
57 |
| 05-02-26 |
60 |
60.2 |
77 |
43 |
44.1 |
62 |
70 |
71.2 |
79 |
50 |
46.8 |
61 |
78 |
71.2 |
80 |
54 |
46.8 |
57 |
| 05-01-26 |
73 |
67.2 |
77 |
55 |
57.7 |
62 |
63 |
60.2 |
79 |
45 |
44.1 |
61 |
69 |
71.2 |
80 |
47 |
46.8 |
57 |
| 04-30-26 |
75 |
75.4 |
77 |
53 |
55.3 |
62 |
73 |
67.2 |
79 |
55 |
57.7 |
61 |
63 |
60.2 |
80 |
46 |
44.1 |
57 |
| 04-29-26 |
80 |
84.1 |
77 |
61 |
67.7 |
62 |
76 |
75.4 |
79 |
52 |
55.3 |
61 |
73 |
67.2 |
80 |
53 |
57.7 |
57 |
| 04-28-26 |
78 |
76.4 |
77 |
60 |
54.8 |
62 |
79 |
84.1 |
79 |
60 |
67.7 |
61 |
76 |
75.4 |
80 |
52 |
55.3 |
57 |
| 04-27-26 |
72 |
71.2 |
77 |
46 |
43.5 |
62 |
78 |
76.4 |
79 |
59 |
54.8 |
61 |
78 |
84.1 |
80 |
60 |
67.7 |
57 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
9 |
|
4 |
6 |
|
1 |
6 |
|
3 |
5 |
|
0 |
5 |
|
2 |
6 |
|
3 |
| % Succ |
69.2 |
|
30.8 |
46.2 |
|
7.7 |
50.0 |
|
25.0 |
41.7 |
|
0.0 |
45.5 |
|
18.2 |
54.5 |
|
27.3 |
| Ave Error |
2.1 |
|
5.6 |
2.9 |
|
9.1 |
2.7 |
|
6.1 |
3.1 |
|
7.8 |
2.9 |
|
6.7 |
3.3 |
|
6.3 |
| Net Error |
0.5 |
|
1.8 |
0.5 |
|
7.1 |
0.5 |
|
3.5 |
0.5 |
|
5.1 |
0.8 |
|
4.5 |
-0.1 |
|
1.0 |
| Std Dev |
2.1 |
|
4.5 |
2.4 |
|
4.7 |
2.2 |
|
5.0 |
2.0 |
|
4.4 |
1.7 |
|
5.2 |
2.0 |
|
3.8 |
|
|
|
| Updated: 05-10-26 at 8:55 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 05-10-26 |
62 |
|
77 |
87 |
|
62 |
55 |
|
79 |
76 |
|
61 |
55 |
|
80 |
80 |
|
57 |
| 05-09-26 |
63 |
80.0 |
77 |
84 |
69.7 |
62 |
64 |
|
79 |
83 |
|
61 |
53 |
|
80 |
73 |
|
57 |
| 05-08-26 |
57 |
75.4 |
77 |
77 |
67.7 |
62 |
63 |
80.0 |
79 |
84 |
69.7 |
61 |
65 |
|
80 |
81 |
|
57 |
| 05-07-26 |
54 |
77.8 |
77 |
76 |
60.1 |
62 |
58 |
75.4 |
79 |
79 |
67.7 |
61 |
63 |
80.0 |
80 |
81 |
69.7 |
57 |
| 05-06-26 |
68 |
87.8 |
77 |
76 |
64.2 |
62 |
55 |
77.8 |
79 |
75 |
60.1 |
61 |
58 |
75.4 |
80 |
80 |
67.7 |
57 |
| 05-05-26 |
79 |
79.7 |
77 |
59 |
72.6 |
62 |
85 |
87.8 |
79 |
68 |
64.2 |
61 |
81 |
77.8 |
80 |
56 |
60.1 |
57 |
| 05-03-26 |
48 |
71.2 |
77 |
78 |
46.8 |
62 |
54 |
79.7 |
79 |
79 |
72.6 |
61 |
61 |
87.8 |
80 |
85 |
64.2 |
57 |
| 05-02-26 |
42 |
60.2 |
77 |
70 |
54.2 |
62 |
48 |
71.2 |
79 |
78 |
46.8 |
61 |
55 |
79.7 |
80 |
80 |
72.6 |
57 |
| 05-01-26 |
56 |
67.2 |
77 |
62 |
53.4 |
62 |
44 |
60.2 |
79 |
69 |
54.2 |
61 |
49 |
71.2 |
80 |
77 |
46.8 |
57 |
| 04-30-26 |
52 |
75.4 |
77 |
73 |
61.3 |
62 |
55 |
67.2 |
79 |
63 |
53.4 |
61 |
46 |
60.2 |
80 |
69 |
54.2 |
57 |
| 04-29-26 |
63 |
84.1 |
77 |
75 |
59.9 |
62 |
53 |
75.4 |
79 |
74 |
61.3 |
61 |
55 |
67.2 |
80 |
63 |
53.4 |
57 |
| 04-28-26 |
59 |
76.4 |
77 |
81 |
69.2 |
62 |
60 |
84.1 |
79 |
76 |
59.9 |
61 |
53 |
75.4 |
80 |
73 |
61.3 |
57 |
| 04-27-26 |
47 |
71.2 |
77 |
77 |
58.8 |
62 |
59 |
76.4 |
79 |
76 |
69.2 |
61 |
59 |
84.1 |
80 |
74 |
59.9 |
57 |
| 04-26-26 |
49 |
74.4 |
77 |
73 |
51.2 |
62 |
47 |
71.2 |
79 |
77 |
58.8 |
61 |
58 |
76.4 |
80 |
78 |
69.2 |
57 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
1 |
|
4 |
0 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
3 |
0 |
|
3 |
0 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
7.7 |
|
30.8 |
|
|
15.4 |
|
|
25.0 |
|
|
25.0 |
|
|
18.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
18.8 |
|
5.3 |
15.3 |
|
6.4 |
18.8 |
|
6.1 |
13.3 |
|
6.0 |
18.5 |
|
6.2 |
13.2 |
|
7.8 |
| Net Error |
-18.8 |
|
1.6 |
13.2 |
|
1.3 |
-18.8 |
|
3.5 |
13.3 |
|
-0.5 |
-17.9 |
|
4.1 |
12.4 |
|
-4.7 |
| Std Dev |
6.1 |
|
4.5 |
5.4 |
|
4.0 |
6.0 |
|
5.0 |
6.4 |
|
4.1 |
6.2 |
|
5.5 |
6.6 |
|
3.9 |
|
|
|