WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
| Updated: 09-08-26 at 8:55 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 09-08-26 |
88 |
|
77 |
67 |
|
62 |
90 |
|
79 |
69 |
|
61 |
91 |
|
80 |
72 |
|
57 |
| 09-07-26 |
87 |
86.6 |
77 |
68 |
69.1 |
62 |
88 |
|
79 |
69 |
|
61 |
89 |
|
80 |
70 |
|
57 |
| 09-06-26 |
92 |
90.5 |
77 |
69 |
68.9 |
62 |
87 |
86.6 |
79 |
68 |
69.1 |
61 |
87 |
|
80 |
68 |
|
57 |
| 09-05-26 |
98 |
99.6 |
77 |
73 |
69.7 |
62 |
90 |
90.5 |
79 |
70 |
68.9 |
61 |
87 |
86.6 |
80 |
68 |
69.1 |
57 |
| 09-04-26 |
95 |
97.2 |
77 |
75 |
75.4 |
62 |
97 |
99.6 |
79 |
73 |
69.7 |
61 |
90 |
90.5 |
80 |
69 |
68.9 |
57 |
| 09-03-26 |
95 |
94.8 |
77 |
74 |
72.5 |
62 |
96 |
97.2 |
79 |
75 |
75.4 |
61 |
97 |
99.6 |
80 |
73 |
69.7 |
57 |
| 09-02-26 |
96 |
97.1 |
77 |
73 |
73.1 |
62 |
95 |
94.8 |
79 |
74 |
72.5 |
61 |
96 |
97.2 |
80 |
75 |
75.4 |
57 |
| 09-01-26 |
94 |
95.1 |
77 |
73 |
72.8 |
62 |
96 |
97.1 |
79 |
73 |
73.1 |
61 |
95 |
94.8 |
80 |
73 |
72.5 |
57 |
| 08-31-26 |
92 |
93.3 |
77 |
71 |
72.2 |
62 |
94 |
95.1 |
79 |
72 |
72.8 |
61 |
95 |
97.1 |
80 |
73 |
73.1 |
57 |
| 08-30-26 |
89 |
88.7 |
77 |
71 |
73.2 |
62 |
92 |
93.3 |
79 |
72 |
72.2 |
61 |
94 |
95.1 |
80 |
72 |
72.8 |
57 |
| 08-29-26 |
83 |
86.6 |
77 |
70 |
72.1 |
62 |
90 |
88.7 |
79 |
71 |
73.2 |
61 |
93 |
93.3 |
80 |
72 |
72.2 |
57 |
| 08-28-26 |
87 |
85.2 |
77 |
71 |
76.3 |
62 |
85 |
86.6 |
79 |
71 |
72.1 |
61 |
89 |
88.7 |
80 |
72 |
73.2 |
57 |
| 08-27-26 |
89 |
89.2 |
77 |
71 |
74.0 |
62 |
89 |
85.2 |
79 |
70 |
76.3 |
61 |
86 |
86.6 |
80 |
71 |
72.1 |
57 |
| 08-26-26 |
89 |
89.5 |
77 |
72 |
71.9 |
62 |
88 |
89.2 |
79 |
72 |
74.0 |
61 |
87 |
85.2 |
80 |
71 |
76.3 |
57 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
11 |
|
0 |
8 |
|
0 |
10 |
|
0 |
9 |
|
0 |
9 |
|
0 |
9 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
84.6 |
|
0.0 |
61.5 |
|
0.0 |
83.3 |
|
0.0 |
75.0 |
|
0.0 |
81.8 |
|
0.0 |
81.8 |
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
1.2 |
|
14.8 |
1.6 |
|
10.4 |
1.4 |
|
13.0 |
1.7 |
|
11.4 |
1.0 |
|
12.2 |
1.3 |
|
15.3 |
| Net Error |
-0.6 |
|
-14.8 |
-0.8 |
|
-10.4 |
-0.4 |
|
-13.0 |
-0.7 |
|
-11.4 |
-0.5 |
|
-12.2 |
-0.6 |
|
-15.3 |
| Std Dev |
0.9 |
|
4.4 |
1.5 |
|
2.1 |
0.6 |
|
4.1 |
1.0 |
|
1.9 |
0.7 |
|
3.7 |
0.9 |
|
1.9 |
|
|
|
| Updated: 09-08-26 at 8:55 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 09-08-26 |
66 |
|
77 |
89 |
|
62 |
69 |
|
79 |
92 |
|
61 |
73 |
|
80 |
94 |
|
57 |
| 09-07-26 |
67 |
86.6 |
77 |
88 |
72.6 |
62 |
66 |
|
79 |
89 |
|
61 |
70 |
|
80 |
91 |
|
57 |
| 09-06-26 |
69 |
90.5 |
77 |
86 |
72.6 |
62 |
68 |
86.6 |
79 |
88 |
72.6 |
61 |
69 |
|
80 |
89 |
|
57 |
| 09-05-26 |
73 |
99.6 |
77 |
90 |
70.8 |
62 |
69 |
90.5 |
79 |
88 |
72.6 |
61 |
68 |
86.6 |
80 |
88 |
72.6 |
57 |
| 09-04-26 |
74 |
97.2 |
77 |
98 |
72.5 |
62 |
74 |
99.6 |
79 |
91 |
70.8 |
61 |
69 |
90.5 |
80 |
87 |
72.6 |
57 |
| 09-03-26 |
74 |
94.8 |
77 |
95 |
80.0 |
62 |
74 |
97.2 |
79 |
97 |
72.5 |
61 |
73 |
99.6 |
80 |
90 |
70.8 |
57 |
| 09-02-26 |
74 |
97.1 |
77 |
94 |
77.9 |
62 |
73 |
94.8 |
79 |
95 |
80.0 |
61 |
74 |
97.2 |
80 |
97 |
72.5 |
57 |
| 09-01-26 |
73 |
95.1 |
77 |
96 |
80.0 |
62 |
74 |
97.1 |
79 |
95 |
77.9 |
61 |
73 |
94.8 |
80 |
97 |
80.0 |
57 |
| 08-31-26 |
71 |
93.3 |
77 |
94 |
78.9 |
62 |
73 |
95.1 |
79 |
95 |
80.0 |
61 |
73 |
97.1 |
80 |
95 |
77.9 |
57 |
| 08-30-26 |
71 |
88.7 |
77 |
92 |
77.2 |
62 |
72 |
93.3 |
79 |
94 |
78.9 |
61 |
72 |
95.1 |
80 |
96 |
80.0 |
57 |
| 08-29-26 |
71 |
86.6 |
77 |
90 |
75.5 |
62 |
72 |
88.7 |
79 |
93 |
77.2 |
61 |
72 |
93.3 |
80 |
94 |
78.9 |
57 |
| 08-28-26 |
72 |
85.2 |
77 |
85 |
72.5 |
62 |
71 |
86.6 |
79 |
90 |
75.5 |
61 |
72 |
88.7 |
80 |
93 |
77.2 |
57 |
| 08-27-26 |
72 |
89.2 |
77 |
89 |
77.6 |
62 |
70 |
85.2 |
79 |
87 |
72.5 |
61 |
71 |
86.6 |
80 |
91 |
75.5 |
57 |
| 08-26-26 |
71 |
89.5 |
77 |
90 |
76.0 |
62 |
72 |
89.2 |
79 |
90 |
77.6 |
61 |
70 |
85.2 |
80 |
88 |
72.5 |
57 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
20.1 |
|
14.8 |
15.6 |
|
13.7 |
20.2 |
|
13.0 |
16.2 |
|
14.7 |
20.7 |
|
12.2 |
16.9 |
|
18.5 |
| Net Error |
-20.1 |
|
-14.8 |
15.6 |
|
-13.7 |
-20.2 |
|
-13.0 |
16.2 |
|
-14.7 |
-20.7 |
|
-12.2 |
16.9 |
|
-18.5 |
| Std Dev |
3.4 |
|
4.4 |
3.4 |
|
3.1 |
2.8 |
|
4.1 |
2.8 |
|
3.0 |
2.4 |
|
3.7 |
2.6 |
|
3.1 |
|
|
|