WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
| Updated: 10-29-26 at 8:55 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 10-29-26 |
79 |
|
77 |
54 |
|
62 |
82 |
|
79 |
54 |
|
61 |
74 |
|
80 |
52 |
|
57 |
| 10-28-26 |
78 |
77.7 |
77 |
58 |
61.1 |
62 |
80 |
|
79 |
54 |
|
61 |
81 |
|
80 |
55 |
|
57 |
| 10-27-26 |
75 |
75.2 |
77 |
48 |
47.6 |
62 |
78 |
77.7 |
79 |
56 |
61.1 |
61 |
79 |
|
80 |
55 |
|
57 |
| 10-26-26 |
74 |
74.3 |
77 |
42 |
41.3 |
62 |
76 |
75.2 |
79 |
48 |
47.6 |
61 |
77 |
77.7 |
80 |
56 |
61.1 |
57 |
| 10-25-26 |
76 |
74.8 |
77 |
47 |
50.4 |
62 |
74 |
74.3 |
79 |
41 |
41.3 |
61 |
76 |
75.2 |
80 |
49 |
47.6 |
57 |
| 10-24-26 |
74 |
73.3 |
77 |
51 |
55.3 |
62 |
75 |
74.8 |
79 |
47 |
50.4 |
61 |
73 |
74.3 |
80 |
42 |
41.3 |
57 |
| 10-23-26 |
70 |
72.5 |
77 |
49 |
52.5 |
62 |
72 |
73.3 |
79 |
50 |
55.3 |
61 |
74 |
74.8 |
80 |
46 |
50.4 |
57 |
| 10-22-26 |
73 |
72.7 |
77 |
42 |
39.5 |
62 |
70 |
72.5 |
79 |
48 |
52.5 |
61 |
71 |
73.3 |
80 |
49 |
55.3 |
57 |
| 10-21-26 |
73 |
73.3 |
77 |
42 |
39.6 |
62 |
73 |
72.7 |
79 |
44 |
39.5 |
61 |
69 |
72.5 |
80 |
46 |
52.5 |
57 |
| 10-20-26 |
74 |
76.5 |
77 |
48 |
43.3 |
62 |
72 |
73.3 |
79 |
43 |
39.6 |
61 |
72 |
72.7 |
80 |
46 |
39.5 |
57 |
| 10-19-26 |
68 |
67.9 |
77 |
45 |
43.0 |
62 |
74 |
76.5 |
79 |
48 |
43.3 |
61 |
72 |
73.3 |
80 |
45 |
39.6 |
57 |
| 10-18-26 |
66 |
66.2 |
77 |
46 |
50.3 |
62 |
68 |
67.9 |
79 |
46 |
43.0 |
61 |
71 |
76.5 |
80 |
48 |
43.3 |
57 |
| 10-17-26 |
64 |
-148.0 |
77 |
44 |
45.8 |
62 |
63 |
66.2 |
79 |
47 |
50.3 |
61 |
66 |
67.9 |
80 |
48 |
43.0 |
57 |
| 10-16-26 |
88 |
-148.0 |
77 |
59 |
67.0 |
62 |
65 |
-148.0 |
79 |
44 |
45.8 |
61 |
62 |
66.2 |
80 |
47 |
50.3 |
57 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
9 |
|
3 |
4 |
|
1 |
8 |
|
1 |
3 |
|
1 |
7 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
1 |
| % Succ |
69.2 |
|
23.1 |
30.8 |
|
7.7 |
66.7 |
|
8.3 |
25.0 |
|
8.3 |
63.6 |
|
0.0 |
18.2 |
|
9.1 |
| Ave Error |
35.1 |
|
38.0 |
3.2 |
|
13.8 |
18.8 |
|
24.3 |
3.3 |
|
13.5 |
2.1 |
|
6.9 |
4.5 |
|
10.1 |
| Net Error |
34.2 |
|
37.9 |
-1.2 |
|
13.0 |
17.0 |
|
24.3 |
-0.6 |
|
13.5 |
-1.9 |
|
6.9 |
-0.2 |
|
9.4 |
| Std Dev |
58.4 |
|
60.6 |
1.3 |
|
6.2 |
16.3 |
|
17.6 |
1.6 |
|
6.3 |
1.0 |
|
1.7 |
1.8 |
|
5.1 |
|
|
|
| Updated: 10-28-26 at 8:55 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 10-28-26 |
59 |
|
77 |
80 |
|
62 |
55 |
|
79 |
82 |
|
61 |
55 |
|
80 |
75 |
|
57 |
| 10-27-26 |
49 |
75.2 |
77 |
78 |
65.9 |
62 |
58 |
|
79 |
79 |
|
61 |
56 |
|
80 |
81 |
|
57 |
| 10-26-26 |
42 |
74.3 |
77 |
75 |
49.8 |
62 |
50 |
75.2 |
79 |
78 |
65.9 |
61 |
58 |
|
80 |
79 |
|
57 |
| 10-25-26 |
47 |
74.8 |
77 |
73 |
50.4 |
62 |
43 |
74.3 |
79 |
76 |
49.8 |
61 |
51 |
75.2 |
80 |
77 |
65.9 |
57 |
| 10-24-26 |
53 |
73.3 |
77 |
75 |
60.3 |
62 |
49 |
74.8 |
79 |
74 |
50.4 |
61 |
43 |
74.3 |
80 |
76 |
49.8 |
57 |
| 10-23-26 |
51 |
72.5 |
77 |
74 |
61.5 |
62 |
52 |
73.3 |
79 |
75 |
60.3 |
61 |
48 |
74.8 |
80 |
73 |
50.4 |
57 |
| 10-22-26 |
38 |
72.7 |
77 |
70 |
52.5 |
62 |
49 |
72.5 |
79 |
73 |
61.5 |
61 |
50 |
73.3 |
80 |
74 |
60.3 |
57 |
| 10-21-26 |
42 |
73.3 |
77 |
73 |
48.8 |
62 |
42 |
72.7 |
79 |
71 |
52.5 |
61 |
49 |
72.5 |
80 |
70 |
61.5 |
57 |
| 10-20-26 |
47 |
76.5 |
77 |
73 |
48.8 |
62 |
44 |
73.3 |
79 |
71 |
48.8 |
61 |
44 |
72.7 |
80 |
69 |
52.5 |
57 |
| 10-19-26 |
45 |
67.9 |
77 |
74 |
50.4 |
62 |
48 |
76.5 |
79 |
71 |
48.8 |
61 |
44 |
73.3 |
80 |
71 |
48.8 |
57 |
| 10-18-26 |
46 |
66.2 |
77 |
68 |
48.9 |
62 |
46 |
67.9 |
79 |
72 |
50.4 |
61 |
48 |
76.5 |
80 |
71 |
48.8 |
57 |
| 10-17-26 |
43 |
-148.0 |
77 |
64 |
54.2 |
62 |
46 |
66.2 |
79 |
67 |
48.9 |
61 |
47 |
67.9 |
80 |
71 |
50.4 |
57 |
| 10-16-26 |
58 |
-148.0 |
77 |
65 |
50.2 |
62 |
44 |
-148.0 |
79 |
61 |
54.2 |
61 |
47 |
66.2 |
80 |
64 |
48.9 |
57 |
| 10-15-26 |
63 |
64.9 |
77 |
87 |
73.2 |
62 |
59 |
-148.0 |
79 |
67 |
50.2 |
61 |
44 |
-148.0 |
80 |
64 |
54.2 |
57 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
1 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
7.7 |
|
15.4 |
|
|
15.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
16.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
51.2 |
|
38.9 |
18.0 |
|
9.3 |
54.7 |
|
43.1 |
17.9 |
|
8.4 |
40.7 |
|
27.4 |
17.1 |
|
6.3 |
| Net Error |
9.9 |
|
38.9 |
18.0 |
|
7.0 |
11.8 |
|
43.1 |
17.9 |
|
7.5 |
-5.8 |
|
27.4 |
17.1 |
|
3.2 |
| Std Dev |
61.9 |
|
79.1 |
5.1 |
|
4.3 |
26.7 |
|
33.7 |
4.5 |
|
4.0 |
12.0 |
|
18.3 |
5.1 |
|
1.7 |
|
|
|